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Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination.
Truelove S, Smith CP, Qin M, Mullany LC, Borchering RK, Lessler J, Shea K, Howerton E, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Hochheiser H, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemairtre JC, Dent J, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Perez-Saez J, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Orr M, Harrison G, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman JL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Runge MC, Viboud C. Truelove S, et al. Among authors: johansson ma. Elife. 2022 Jun 21;11:e73584. doi: 10.7554/eLife.73584. Elife. 2022. PMID: 35726851 Free PMC article.
Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States.
Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Alper D, Brooks LC, Chakraborty P, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Kandula S, McGowan C, Ramakrishnan N, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ, Vespignani A, Yang W, Zhang Q, Reed C. Biggerstaff M, et al. Epidemics. 2018 Sep;24:26-33. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.02.003. Epub 2018 Feb 24. Epidemics. 2018. PMID: 29506911 Free PMC article.
A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States.
Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: johansson ma. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116. Epub 2019 Jan 15. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 30647115 Free PMC article.
Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016.
McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C; Influenza Forecasting Working Group. McGowan CJ, et al. Sci Rep. 2019 Jan 24;9(1):683. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9. Sci Rep. 2019. PMID: 30679458 Free PMC article.
Technology to advance infectious disease forecasting for outbreak management.
George DB, Taylor W, Shaman J, Rivers C, Paul B, O'Toole T, Johansson MA, Hirschman L, Biggerstaff M, Asher J, Reich NG. George DB, et al. Among authors: johansson ma. Nat Commun. 2019 Sep 2;10(1):3932. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-11901-7. Nat Commun. 2019. PMID: 31477707 Free PMC article.
A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern.
Kobres PY, Chretien JP, Johansson MA, Morgan JJ, Whung PY, Mukundan H, Del Valle SY, Forshey BM, Quandelacy TM, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Pollett S. Kobres PY, et al. Among authors: johansson ma. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2019 Oct 4;13(10):e0007451. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007451. eCollection 2019 Oct. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2019. PMID: 31584946 Free PMC article.
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. Johansson MA, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 26;116(48):24268-24274. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1909865116. Epub 2019 Nov 11. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 31712420 Free PMC article.
Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.
Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, Tushar A, Ray EL, Osthus D, Kandula S, Brooks LC, Crawford-Crudell W, Gibson GC, Moore E, Silva R, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: johansson ma. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Nov 22;15(11):e1007486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486. eCollection 2019 Nov. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019. PMID: 31756193 Free PMC article.
130 results