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Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014.
Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. Lauer SA, et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Mar 6;115(10):E2175-E2182. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1714457115. Epub 2018 Feb 20. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018. PMID: 29463757 Free PMC article.
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. Johansson MA, et al. Among authors: lauer sa. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 26;116(48):24268-24274. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1909865116. Epub 2019 Nov 11. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 31712420 Free PMC article.
Triggering interventions for influenza: the ALERT algorithm.
Reich NG, Cummings DA, Lauer SA, Zorn M, Robinson C, Nyquist AC, Price CS, Simberkoff M, Radonovich LJ, Perl TM. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: lauer sa. Clin Infect Dis. 2015 Feb 15;60(4):499-504. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciu749. Epub 2014 Nov 19. Clin Infect Dis. 2015. PMID: 25414260 Free PMC article.
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