Objective: To evaluate effects, costs and savings for a preconceptional couple screening programme for cystic fibrosis (CF) carriers.
Setting: State University Groningen, the Netherlands.
Design: Prospective theoretical evaluation.
Method: A decision tree and an arithmetic model were constructed for two different strategies of preconceptional CF screening of couples: 'single entry two step' (SETS; start by testing one partner), and 'double entry two step' (DETS; test both partners). The difference between costs of screening and costs of CF illness prevented by screening was determined.
Results: DETS couple screening with the assumptions used for e.g. sensitivity and use of options can detect 81.5% of carrier couples in the Netherlands (against 70% for SETS), but results in twice as many positive/negative couples as SETS couple screening. The maximum number of carrier couples identified when screening 100,000 couples would be 88, resulting in a decrease of the number of children with CF of 25 each year. The costs of screening equal the savings if approximately 8,000 couples are screened yearly in the Netherlands.
Conclusions: There are no financial objections to preconceptional couple screening in the Netherlands, even with an uptake ratio of around 10%. Whether screening for CF carriers should be offered or not should be decided on the basis of non-financial arguments.