Prostate-specific antigen density: a new prognostic indicator for prostate cancer

Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 1993 Sep 1;27(1):47-58. doi: 10.1016/0360-3016(93)90420-z.

Abstract

Purpose: Prostate specific antigen density, previously described as a ratio of serum prostate specific antigen to the volume of the prostate, has been shown to be an important factor in the discrimination of patients with occult metastatic disease and patients with benign versus malignant prostatic disease. We undertook a retrospective study to determine if prostate specific antigen density was a predictor of outcome following definitive conformal radiation therapy.

Methods and materials: Between January 1989 and August 1991, 86 patients with localized prostate cancer (confined to the prostate, periprostatic tissue, or seminal vesicles) were treated in the Department of Radiation Oncology, Columbia-Presbyterian Medical Center with definitive radiation therapy using computed tomography-guided conformal technique. Thirteen patients were excluded on the basis of prior prostatectomy, hormonal therapy, or no pretreatment prostate specific antigen measurement. Seventy-three patients were evaluable: 19% (14/73) American Urologic Association Stage A (T1), 41% (30/73) B (T2), and 40% (29/73) C (T3). Prostate specific antigen density was defined as the ratio of the pretreatment serum prostate specific antigen to the prostate volume as determined from computed tomography treatment planning scans. Pretreatment prostate specific antigen density was calculated for each patient and ranged from 0.04-3.85 with a mean and median value of 0.66 and 0.33, respectively. Prostate specific antigen failure was defined as a rise above normal level or, for patients whose nadir was above 4 ng/ml, an increase of greater than 10% above nadir. Mean prostate specific antigen follow-up was 13 months (range 2.3-31 months) by which time 66% of patients had normal prostate specific antigen (< or = 4 ng/ml) levels.

Results: Nine patients experienced prostate specific antigen failure. The mean prostate specific antigen density of patients with disease-free survival versus failures was 0.53 and 1.6, respectively (p < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with a prostate specific antigen density < or = 0.3 (n = 30) had 100% actuarial disease-free survival at 30 months compared with 62% for patients with prostate specific antigen density > 0.3 (n = 43, p < 0.01). Patients with a prostate specific antigen density < or = 0.6 (n = 52) and > 0.6 (n = 21) had an 88% and 57% actuarial disease-free survival at > 24 months (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: Prostate specific antigen density was an excellent predictor of disease-free survival (p < 0.01) and was superior to clinical stage (p > 0.05), Gleason's score (p > 0.05), and pretreatment prostate specific antigen (p < 0.05). These results suggest that patients with low prostate specific antigen density (< or = 0.3), including those with locally advanced clinical stage, high Gleason's score, or elevated pretreatment prostate specific antigen, do well with conventional radiation therapy and should not be subjected to high risk protocols. Further follow-up will be required to determine if patients with low prostate specific antigen density will have improved overall survival.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Prostate / pathology*
  • Prostate-Specific Antigen / blood*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / blood*
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / pathology
  • Prostatic Neoplasms / radiotherapy*
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Prostate-Specific Antigen