Ecological risk factors for the establishment of West Nile virus in Britain

Abstract

West Nile virus (WNV) is a zoonotic mosquito-borne virus which is emerging across Europe, largely due to climate and other environmental changes. Detection of WNV at increasingly northern latitudes raises concern that WNV may be introduced to Britain, where ecological conditions could eventually support sustained transmission. Establishment of WNV depends on spatial and temporal overlap between infectious migratory birds and native vectors. However, understanding of the distributions and phenology of key vector species in Britain is incomplete and must be updated to prioritise activities for WNV surveillance and response. Here, we review recent findings related to WNV ecology in continental Europe and the ecology of British mosquito species in order to evaluate the risk of WNV establishment in Britain.

Keywords: West Nile virus; climate change; mosquitoes; vector ecology.