Exposure to air pollution significantly elevates the risk of disease among urban populations. Improving city air quality requires not only traditional emission reduction strategies but also a focus on the intricate impacts of the urban built environment and meteorological elements. The complexity and diversity of factors within the urban built environment pose significant challenges to pollution control. This study employs machine learning to predict the spatial distribution of inhalable particulate matter (PM10) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), integrating the clustering of pollutant-emitting enterprises and prevailing wind direction to trace pollutant sources. The results indicate that, compared to the multiple linear regression model, the R2 of the PM10 random forest prediction model improved from 0.64 to 0.88, while the RMSE decreased from 48.63 to 27.34. Similarly, the R2 of the PM2.5increased from 0.70 to 0.92, and the RMSE decreased from 30.85 to 15.31. High concentrations of PM10 and PM2.5 in Xi'an are primarily concentrated in the northeast and southwest of the central urban area. By integrating a kernel density analysis of polluting enterprises with the analysis of prevailing wind patterns, it is evident that particulate matter in Xi'an is substantially influenced by regional urban transport. Therefore, pollution control efforts must be enhanced through coordinated regional governance. According to the analysis results of the partial dependence plot, reducing winter temperature proves beneficial in reducing PM10 and PM2.5 levels. Effective measures encompass sprinkling and humidifying, reducing traffic emissions, and controlling various dust sources to lower PM10. Enhancing ventilation, increasing green spaces, and regulating vehicle and industrial emissions effectively reduce PM2.5. The study's findings offer a scientific foundation for administrative authorities to craft pollution reduction management policies and create adaptable territorial spatial planning. Moreover, they contribute to diminishing public exposure to pollution and improving the quality of public environmental health.
Keywords: Particulate matter; Pollution control; Random forest; Urban built environment.
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