Cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma in the context of regional disparities in China

Abstract

Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of combining camrelizumab with rivoceranib versus sorafenib as initial treatment options for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across different developmental regions in China.

Methods: Utilizing TreeAge Pro and data from the phase III randomized CARES-310 clinical trial, a model based on Markov state transitions was developed. Health state utility values were derived from the CARES-310 trial, and direct medical costs were obtained from relevant literature and local pricing data. The primary outcome measured was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), defined as the cost per additional quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained per person. The ICERs were compared against the willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of different regions in China, including low-income ($16,426.80), medium-income ($34,319.01), and high-income regions ($81,036.63). Sensitivity analyses were also conducted to assess the robustness and reliability of the model under various assumptions. A tornado diagram was used to illustrate the impact of parameter variations on the model's cost-effectiveness.

Results: For base case analysis, QALYs per person for the cohort receiving sorafenib were 0.91, with a corresponding cost of $8,860.97. For the cohort receiving camrelizumab plus rivoceranib, the QALYs per person were 1.71, with a corresponding cost of $16,190.72. The camrelizumab plus rivoceranib treatment group exhibited an increase of 0.80 QALYs and an additional expenditure of $7,329.75. The calculated ICER was $9,150.75 per QALY, which is below the WTP thresholds for all regions in China. The camrelizumab plus rivoceranib regimen is regarded as highly cost-effective in medium-income areas of China, with a probability of 99.9%. In high-income regions, the probability reaches 100.0%. Even in low-income regions, this regimen is considered 95.6% cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis further verified that these findings were robust across various assumptions.

Conclusion: The combination of camrelizumab and rivoceranib as a treatment strategy not only improves health outcomes but also represents a cost-effective option across different developmental regions in China.

Keywords: China; camrelizumab; cost-effectiveness; hepatocellular carcinoma; rivoceranib.