Changes in DNA methylation are associated with systemic lupus erythematosus flare remission and clinical subtypes

Abstract

Background: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has numerous symptoms across organs and an unpredictable flare-remittance pattern. This has made it challenging to understand drivers of long-term SLE outcomes. Our objective was to identify whether changes in DNA methylation over time, in an actively flaring SLE cohort, were associated with remission and whether these changes meaningfully subtype SLE patients.

Methods: Fifty-nine multi-ethnic SLE patients had clinical visits and DNA methylation profiles at a flare and approximately 3 months later. Methylation was measured using the Illumina EPIC array. We identified sites where methylation change between visits was associated with remission at the follow-up visit using limma package and a time x remission interaction term. Models adjusted for batch, age at diagnosis, time between visits, age at flare, sex, medications, and cell-type proportions. Separately, a paired T-test identified Bonferroni significant methylation sites with ≥ 3% change between visits (n = 546). Methylation changes at these sites were used for unsupervised consensus hierarchical clustering. Associations between clusters and patient features were assessed.

Results: Nineteen patients fully remitted at the follow-up visit. For 1,953 CpG sites, methylation changed differently for remitters vs. non-remitters (Bonferroni p < 0.05). Nearly half were within genes regulated by interferon. The largest effect was at cg22873177; on average, remitters had 23% decreased methylation between visits while non-remitters had no change. Three SLE patient clusters were identified using methylation differences agnostic of clinical outcomes. All Cluster 1 subjects (n = 12) experienced complete flare remission, despite similar baseline disease activity scores, medications, and demographics as other clusters. Methylation changes at six CpG sites, including within immune-related CD45 and IFI genes, were particularly distinct for each cluster, suggesting these may be good candidates for stratifying patients in the future.

Conclusions: Changes in DNA methylation during active SLE were associated with remission status and identified subgroups of SLE patients with several distinct clinical and biological characteristics. DNA methylation patterns might help inform SLE subtypes, leading to targeted therapies based on relevant underlying biological pathways.

Keywords: DNA methylation; Disease subtyping; Hierarchical clustering; Longitudinal; Lupus flare; Lupus remission; Systemic lupus erythematosus; Unsupervised machine learning.