Brachial-Ankle Pulse Wave Velocity as a Predictor of Diabetes Development: Elevated Risk Within Normal Range Values in a Low-Risk Population

J Am Heart Assoc. 2024 Dec 17;13(24):e037705. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.124.037705. Epub 2024 Dec 10.

Abstract

Background: Recent studies have suggested that increased brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) is a risk factor for diabetes. Exploring its relationship with insulin resistance is of interest, necessitating further studies across different sexes and age groups.

Methods and results: This cohort study involved 119 170 Korean adults with an average age of 39.8 years, none of whom had diabetes at baseline. As part of a health screening, baPWV measurements were taken. Over a median follow-up period of 5.6 years, fasting blood glucose, glycated hemoglobin, insulin levels, and questionnaire responses were collected. The risk of developing diabetes was evaluated using a flexible parametric proportional hazards model with data stratified by sex and age group (<40 versus ≥40 years). During the follow-up period, diabetes was diagnosed in 5966 participants (5.0%). A fully adjusted model found that the hazard ratios for diabetes onset associated with baPWV quartiles Q2 (1171.0-1270.5 cm/s), Q3 (1271.0-1376.0 cm/s), and Q4 (≥1376.5 cm/s) compared with Q1 (<1171.0 cm/s) were 1.06 (95% CI, 0.96-1.17), 1.25 (1.14-1.38), and 1.48 (1.34-1.62), respectively (P for trend <0.001). A significant sex-based interaction was noted in this association, with women showing a higher risk of diabetes development. Furthermore, higher baPWV quartiles were associated with an increased risk of developing insulin resistance, defined as the homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance.

Conclusions: These findings highlight the importance of arterial stiffness, as measured by elevated baPWV, in the development of diabetes and insulin resistance. Notably, this study highlighted a strong association, particularly among women.

Keywords: arterial stiffness; brachial‐ankle pulse wave velocity; diabetes; insulin resistance.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Ankle Brachial Index*
  • Blood Glucose / metabolism
  • Diabetes Mellitus / diagnosis
  • Diabetes Mellitus / epidemiology
  • Diabetes Mellitus / physiopathology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Insulin Resistance*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Pulse Wave Analysis*
  • Republic of Korea / epidemiology
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Vascular Stiffness / physiology

Substances

  • Blood Glucose