Purpose: To study the influence of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) policy and its Medicaid expansion on insurance status and survival in patients with HIV with aggressive lymphoma.
Methods: We used the National Cancer Database, a hospital-based national registry, to identify adults age 18-64 years with HIV-associated aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphomas (HIV-a-B-NHLs), diagnosed during 2007 to 2016. Survival analysis was performed on a subset of patients with HIV-a-B-NHL for whom location data were available who resided in Medicaid expansion-adopted and nonadopted states. Using a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference model, the difference in adjusted 2-year survival rates obtained with a flexible parametric Weibull model was compared for states that adopted the Medicaid expansion of ACA against those that did not adopt the expansion.
Results: We identified 8,231 patients with HIV-a-B-NHL and 50,650 non-HIV patients with a-B-NHL. We found that a lower proportion of individuals were uninsured at diagnosis in the expansion states compared with nonexpansion states. We also found that the ACA policy adoption led to a reduction in the proportion of uninsured individuals with HIV-a-B-NHL in expansion states of 34.9%, compared with 15.9% in non-expansion-adopted states. There was a statistically significant improvement in the 2-year survival rate among patients with HIV-a-B-NHL in the expansion compared with nonexpansion states with the adoption of ACA (7.17% v 1.58%, P = .02).
Conclusion: Using a novel quasi-experimental model, we found that the ACA policy corresponded with a greater survival improvement in patients with HIV-a-B-NHL within Medicaid expansion-adopted states compared with nonexpansion states. We believe that this evidence should be taken into consideration in future policy making.