Background: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a promising non-invasive marker for detection, diagnosis, treatment selection, and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
Objective: This study aimed to examine the utility of ctDNA as a prognostic and predictive tool in HCC patients treated with nivolumab.
Methods: We analyzed pre-treatment ctDNA from 44 HCC patients using comprehensive genomic testing on a commercially available platform. We utilized log rank test and univariate Cox models to correlate overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) with ctDNA expressions.
Results: Of 44 patients, 77.3% were men with median age of 67 years. All but 3 patients had at least one alteration identified, and TP53 was the most commonly altered gene (52.3%). Median OS was 17.5 months (95% CI: 12.7, NA). Mutations involving PIK3CA, BRCA1, and CCND1 amplification were associated with shorter OS (P 0.0001, 0.0001 and 0.01, respectively). Median PFS time was 4.01 months (95% CI: 3.06, 9.33). Mutations involving KIT and PIK3CA were associated with shorter PFS (P 0.0001 and 0.0004, respectively), while mutation involving CTNNB1 were associated with longer PFS (p= 0.04).
Conclusions: ctDNA profiling may provide a benefit for prediction of survival and progression of HCC patients treated with nivolumab. Future studies are needed for confirmation.
Keywords: biomarker; ctDNA; hepatocellular carcinoma; immunotherapy; nivolumab.