Causal mediation analysis: How to avoid fooling yourself that X causes Y

Lab Anim. 2024 Oct;58(5):458-462. doi: 10.1177/00236772231217777. Epub 2024 Aug 11.

Abstract

The purpose of many preclinical studies is to determine whether an experimental intervention affects an outcome through a particular mechanism, but the analytical methods and inferential logic typically used cannot answer this question, leading to erroneous conclusions about causal relationships, which can be highly reproducible. A causal mediation analysis can directly test whether a hypothesised mechanism is partly or completely responsible for a treatment's effect on an outcome. Such an analysis can be easily implemented with modern statistical software. We show how a mediation analysis can distinguish between three different causal relationships that are indistinguishable when using a standard analysis.

Keywords: Causal; mechanism; mediation; statistics.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Causality
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • Mediation Analysis*
  • Research Design