Valence-to-core (VtC) X-ray emission spectroscopy offers the opportunity to probe the valence electronic structure of a system filtered by selection rules. From this, the nature of its ligands can be inferred. While a preceding 1s ionization creates a core hole, in VtC XES this core hole is filled with electrons from mainly ligand based orbitals. In this work, we investigated the trends in the observed VtC intensities for a series of transition metal halides, which spans the first row transition metals from manganese to copper. Further, with the aid of computational studies, we corroborated these trends and identified the mechanisms and factors that dictate the observed intensity trends. Small amounts of metal p contribution to the ligand orbitals are known to give rise to intensity of a VtC transition. By employing an LCAO (linear combination of atomic orbitals) approach, we were able to assess the amount of metal p contribution to the ligand molecular orbitals, as well as the role of the transition dipole moment and correlate these factors to the experimentally observed intensities. Finally, by employing an ano (atomic natural orbital) basis set within the calculations, the nature of the metal p contribution (3p vs. 4p) was qualitatively assessed and their trends discussed within the same transition metal halide series.