Correlating Predicted Adjuvant Therapy Benefit and Risk of Recurrence Between Breast Cancer Index (BCI) and the 21-Gene Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS)

Abstract

Introduction: Breast Cancer Index (BCI) is a genomic assay that evaluates the benefit of extending endocrine therapy (ET) from 5 to 10 years and predicts recurrence risk (RR). We evaluated the association between BCI and Oncotype DX (ODX).

Patients: Women with hormone receptor (HR)-positive early-stage breast cancer (EBC) who had BCI and ODX performed were included.

Methods: We performed a retrospective review of women with HR-positive EBC. BCI was categorized as predictive of extended ET versus not and ODX recurrence score (RS) as low (0-10), intermediate (11-25), and high (26-100). Univariate and multivariable logistic and linear regression models assessed the relationship between BCI and ODX, factors associated with each, and discordance between scores.

Results: We identified 153 women, 22% were premenopausal and 18% were lymph node positive. The univariate logistic and linear models revealed an association between BCI predictive score and ODX RS (OR 7.84, CI, 2.63-23.36, P < .001) and log of BCI RR (Beta 0.04, CI, 0.02-0.06, P < .001). Seventy-four percent of BCI predictive scores were concordant with ODX RS and 83% of BCI RR was concordant with ODX RR. In a univariate logistic regression model, BCI predictive of ET benefit was associated with discordance (OR 28.00, CI, 10.58-74.02, P < .001). Higher ODX RR was associated with discordance (OR 1.92, CI, 1.42-2.59, P < .001).

Conclusion: We found a significant association between ODX and BCI predictive and prognostic scores. BCI predictive of extended ET benefit was associated with discordance with ODX RS. Higher predicted RR on ODX was associated with discordance with BCI predicted RR.

Keywords: 21-gene recurrence score; Adjuvant therapy benefit; Early-stage breast cancer; Hormone receptor positive breast cancer; Risk of recurrence.