Heart and Lung Dose as Predictors of Overall Survival in Patients With Locally Advanced Lung Cancer. A National Multicenter Study

JTO Clin Res Rep. 2024 Mar 14;5(4):100663. doi: 10.1016/j.jtocrr.2024.100663. eCollection 2024 Apr.

Abstract

Introduction: It is an ongoing debate how much lung and heart irradiation impact overall survival (OS) after definitive radiotherapy for lung cancer. This study uses a large national cohort of patients with locally advanced NSCLC to investigate the association between OS and irradiation of lung and heart.

Methods: Treatment plans were acquired from six Danish radiotherapy centers, and patient characteristics were obtained from national registries. A hybrid segmentation tool automatically delineated the heart and substructures. Dose-volume histograms for all structures were extracted and analyzed using principal component analyses (PCAs). Parameter selection for a multivariable Cox model for OS prediction was performed using cross-validation based on bootstrapping.

Results: The population consisted of 644 patients with a median survival of 26 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 24-29). The cross-validation selected two PCA variables to be included in the multivariable model. PCA1 represented irradiation of the heart and affected OS negatively (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI: 1.04-1.26). PCA2 characterized the left-right balance (right atrium and left ventricle) irradiation, showing better survival for tumors near the right side (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% CI: 0.84-1.00). Besides the two PCA variables, the multivariable model included age, sex, body-mass index, performance status, tumor dose, and tumor volume.

Conclusions: Besides the classic noncardiac risk factors, lung and heart doses had a negative impact on survival, while it is suggested that the left side of the heart is a more radiation dose-sensitive region. The data indicate that overall heart irradiation should be reduced to improve the OS if possible.

Keywords: Definitive radiotherapy; Dose to heart chambers and coronary arteries; Heart dose; Lung dose; NSCLC; Overall survival.