Age and flexors as risk factors for cervical radiculopathy: A new machine learning method

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for cervical radiculopathy (CR) along with identifying the relationships between age, cervical flexors, and CR. This was a retrospective cohort study, including 60 patients with CR enrolled between December 2018 and June 2020. In this study, we measured C2 to C7 Cobb angle, disc degeneration, endplate degeneration, and morphology of paraspinal muscles and evaluated the value of predictive methods using receiver operating characteristic curves. Next, we established a diagnostic model for CR using Fisher discriminant model and compared different models by calculating the kappa value. Age and cervical flexor factors were used to construct clinical predictive models, which were further evaluated by C-index, receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that age and cervical flexors were potential risk factors for CR, while the diagnostic model indicated that both exerted the best diagnostic effect. The obtained diagnostic equation was as follows: y1 = 0.33 × 1 + 10.302 × 2-24.139; y2 = 0.259 × 1 + 13.605 × 2-32.579. Both the C-index and AUC in the training set reached 0.939. Moreover, the C-index and AUC values in the external validation set reached 0.961. We developed 2 models for predicting CR and also confirmed their validity. Age and cervical flexors were considered potential risk factors for CR. Our noninvasive inspection method could provide clinicians with a more potential diagnostic value to detect CR accurately.