Aims/hypothesis: Type 2 diabetes is associated with a high risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD), but the risk of dying from another cause (non-SCD) is proportionally even higher. The aim of the study was to identify easily available ECG-derived features associated with SCD, while considering the competing risk of dying from non-SCD causes.
Methods: In the SURDIAGENE (Survie, Diabete de type 2 et Genetique) French prospective cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes, 15 baseline ECG parameters were interpreted among 1362 participants (mean age 65 years; HbA1c 62±17 mmol/mol [7.8±1.5%]; 58% male). Competing risk models assessed the prognostic value of clinical and ECG parameters for SCD after adjusting for age, sex, history of myocardial infarction, N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), HbA1c and eGFR. The prospective Mini-Finland cohort study was used to externally validate our findings.
Results: During median follow-up of 7.4 years, 494 deaths occurred including 94 SCDs. After adjustment, frontal QRS-T angle ≥90° (sub-distribution HR [sHR] 1.68 [95% CI 1.04, 2.69], p=0.032) and NT-proBNP level (sHR 1.26 [95% CI 1.06, 1.50] per 1 log, p=0.009) were significantly associated with a higher risk of SCD. Nevertheless, frontal QRS-T angle was the only marker not to be associated with causes of death other than SCD (sHR 1.08 [95% CI 0.84, 1.39], p=0.553 ). These findings were replicated in the Mini-Finland study subset of participants with diabetes (sHR 2.22 [95% CI 1.05, 4.71], p=0.04 for SCD and no association for other causes of death).
Conclusions/interpretation: QRS-T angle was specifically associated with SCD risk and not with other causes of death, opening an avenue for refining SCD risk stratification in individuals with type 2 diabetes.
Keywords: Electrocardiogram; Mortality; Sudden cardiac death; Type 2 diabetes.
© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.