Proposed imaging assessment score for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage correlated with prognosis: Shinshu Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage score

Abstract

Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) imaging has been shown to correlate with prognosis. However, no numerical index of bleeding severity has been established. This study aimed to propose a new simple scoring system for computed tomography imaging of aSAH and to confirm its effectiveness in retrospective and prospective studies.

Methods: We devised an image evaluation system as an objective index. This system was established by scoring six items, with a maximum total of 19 points. Using this score, named the Shinshu Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Score (S-score), we performed a retrospective study of 210 patients with aSAH at a single institution to confirm its efficacy. Age and World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grades were adopted as other verification items, and the modified Rankin Scale was used for prognostic evaluation. A multicenter prospective study was then conducted to examine the function of the score by examining 214 patients with aSAH.

Results: In the retrospective study, the threshold of the S-score between good and poor prognoses was 9/19 points. The area under the curve by receiver operating characteristic analysis of the S-score was 0.819, suggesting efficacy, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.291 (1.077-1.547). In the prospective study, the judgment capability of the S-score was evaluated with a sensitivity of 0.674, specificity of 0.881, positive predictive value of 0.789, negative predictive value of 0.804, false-positive ratio of 0.119, false-negative ratio of 0.325, positive likelihood ratio of 6.072, and negative likelihood ratio of 1.369. S-score showed a significant difference in prognosis. The OR was 1.183 (1.009-1.388).

Conclusions: The scoring system could contribute to patient prognosis assessment. S-score and its prognostic formulas may serve as an objective source of information in the development of clinical medicine.

Keywords: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage; Imaging assessment score; Prognosis; Shinshu Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Score.