Patterns of Failure, Low-Volume Relapse, and Subsequent Ablative Management in Locally Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Treated With Definitive Chemoradiation and Consolidation Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Abstract

Purpose: The objective of this study was to describe the patterns of failure, frequency of low-volume relapse (LVR), and candidacy for ablative therapy at time of disease progression (PD) after chemoradiation and consolidative immunotherapy (CRT + ICI) in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer.

Methods and materials: We identified 229 consecutive patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with CRT + ICI between October 2017 and December 2021 at a single institution. PD was classified as isolated locoregional failure (LRF), isolated distant failure (DF), or synchronous LRF + DF. Any LRF was subclassified as in-field failure, marginal failure, or out-of-field failure. LVR was defined as 3 or fewer sites of PD in any number of organs. Ablative candidates were defined as having 5 or fewer sites of PD radiographically amenable to high-dose radiation or surgery. Time-to-event data were calculated using cumulative incidence analysis and Kaplan-Meier methods. Multivariable Cox modeling was used to examine the correlations between characteristics of relapse and postprogression survival.

Results: Of the 229 patients, 119 (52%) had PD. Of these 119 patients, 20 (21%) had isolated LRF, 28 (24%) had synchronous LRF + DF, and 71 (60%) had isolated DF. Of the 48 patients with any LRF, 28 (58%) had in-field failure, 10 (21%) marginal failure, and 10 (21%) out-of-field failure. The cumulative incidence of LRF and DF was 13% (95% CI, 9.2%-18%) and 32% (95% CI, 26%-38%) at 1 year and 19% (95% CI, 14%-24%) and 39% (95% CI, 33%-46%) at 2 years, respectively. Overall, 64 patients (54%) were considered to have LVR. At time of PD, 60 patients (50%) were eligible for ablative therapy. Patients with LVR had longer median survival versus with high-volume relapse (37.4 vs 15.2 months, P < .001). On multivariable analysis, LVR (hazard ratio, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.18-0.56; P < .001) was associated with improved postprogression survival.

Conclusions: After CRT + ICI, approximately half of patients experience LVR at time of PD and are candidates for ablative therapies. Prospective trials are needed to validate the optimal treatment strategy for LVR.