Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis of Follicle-Stimulating Hormone During Ovarian Stimulation: Relation with Weight, Prolactin and Gene Polymorphism in THADA and ADIPOQ

Abstract

Background: Personalisation strategies of ovarian stimulation for in vitro fertilisation (IVF)/ intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) treatments using exogenous follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) have been extensively studied over the past 20 years. This research aimed to develop a FSH population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model taking into account the contribution of gene polymorphisms in Chinese reproductive-age women.

Methods: Data from 173 patients undergoing GnRH agonist down-regulation long protocols of IVF/ICSI treatment were collected. PPK analysis was subsequently conducted using the nonlinear mixed-effect model (NONMEM) software. Several covariates, including 18 single nucleotide polymorphisms, demographic factors and biological characteristics, were evaluated. The final PPK model was extensively validated using bootstrapping and normalised prediction error distribution, as well as external validation on an independent group of 35 patients.

Results: FSH PPK was accurately described by a one-compartment model with first-order absorption. The typical population value of apparent clearance was estimated to be 0.81 L/h [relative standard errors (RSE) 5.3%] with an inter-individual variability (IIV) of 16.0%. The typical apparent distribution volume was 8.36 L (RSE 9.7%, 59.7% IIV), and the absorption rate constant was estimated to be 0.0444 h^-1 (RSE 9.1%). Body weight, basal prolactin concentration and the gene ADIPOQ (rs1501299) showed a significant covariate effect on the FSH clearance rate and exposure concentration. Genotypes of THADA (rs12478601) significantly influenced the distribution volume. Simulation results indicated that patients with the TT genotype of THADA (rs12478601) required a longer time to reach steady state and had less fluctuation in FSH levels. Model evaluations showed that the final model accurately and precisely described the observed data and demonstrated effective prediction performance.

Conclusion: PPK models of FSH have been developed, which could potentially be used for FSH dosage individualisation in the clinical setting.

Clinical trial registration: This study has been registered with the Chinese Clinical Trials Registry (ChiCTR2100049142).