A nomogram prediction of citrate reaction during mononuclear cell collection in solid tumor patients

Abstract

Purpose: Citrate reaction is one of the main adverse events in peripheral blood mononuclear cell (MNC) collection. The aim of this study was to elucidate the risk factors for citrate reaction in patients with advanced solid tumor collection and to construct a nomogram to predict the risk.

Methods: One hundred forty-eight patients with advanced solid tumor who underwent peripheral blood MNC collection in our hospital between January 2021 to December 2021 were selected. The general data, creatinine level before collection, Ca²⁺ concentration before collection, absolute value of monocyte lymphocytes before collection, circulating blood volume, anticoagulant dosage, and blood collection duration were included in Logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors of citrate reaction. According to the results of the multivariate logistic model, nomogram was established and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of the model.

Results: Among the 148 solid tumor patients, 35 patients (23.6%) of the 148 patients developed citrate reaction. Multivariate analysis showed that the risk factors for citrate reaction in the process of collection included sex (odds ratio [OR] = 6.718; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.191-20.594, P = .001), age (OR = 0.957; 95% CI: 0.921-0.996, P = .03), and processed circulating blood volume (OR = 1.001; 95% CI: 1.000-1.002, P = .01). Logistic regression can analyze independent risk factors and establish risk prediction model. The predictive performance of the model is good, and the area under ROC curve is 0.799.

Conclusions: The MNC collection process is safe. The incidence of citrate reaction in the collection of peripheral blood MNCs from patients with advanced solid tumor is related to the age, gender, and processed circulating blood volume of patients. The nomogram can be used to assess a patient's risk of citrate reaction.

Keywords: citrate reaction; mononuclear cell collection; nomogram.