Ultrasound images-based deep learning radiomics nomogram for preoperative prediction of RET rearrangement in papillary thyroid carcinoma

Abstract

Purpose: To create an ultrasound -based deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLRN) for preoperatively predicting the presence of RET rearrangement among patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 650 patients with PTC. Patients were divided into the RET/PTC rearrangement group (n = 103) and the non-RET/PTC rearrangement group (n = 547). Radiomics features were extracted based on hand-crafted features from the ultrasound images, and deep learning networks were used to extract deep transfer learning features. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was applied to select the features of nonzero coefficients from radiomics and deep transfer learning features; then, we established the deep learning radiomics signature. DLRN was constructed using a logistic regression algorithm by combining clinical and deep learning radiomics signatures. The prediction performance was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

Results: Comparing the effectiveness of the models by linking the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of each model, we found that the area under the curve of DLRN could reach 0.9545 (95% confidence interval: 0.9133-0.9558) in the test cohort and 0.9396 (95% confidence interval: 0.9185-0.9607) in the training cohort, indicating that the model has an excellent performance in predicting RET rearrangement in PTC. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the combined model was clinically useful.

Conclusion: The novel ultrasonic-based DLRN has an important clinical value for predicting RET rearrangement in PTC. It can provide physicians with a preoperative non-invasive primary screening method for RET rearrangement diagnosis, thus facilitating targeted patients with purposeful molecular sequencing to avoid unnecessary medical investment and improve treatment outcomes.

Keywords: RET rearrangement; deep learning; nomogram; papillary thyroid carcinoma; prediction; radiomics.