Establishment of a risk index for early complications after trans-canal endoscopic ear surgery

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to determine the risk factors associated with early postoperative complications of trans-canal endoscopic ear surgery (TEES), then to develop a risk index.

Materials and methods: This single-institution retrospective study reviewed TEESs from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2019 in a tertiary hospital. In the derivation cohort, univariable and multivariable logistic regression were performed to identify factors significantly associated with early postoperative complications of TEES. Then these parameters were integrated into a trans-canal endoscopic ear surgery risk index (TEESRI). The performance of TEESRI was compared with that of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification using the validation cohort.

Results: 932 TEESs were enrolled in total and 151 (16.2%) developed early postoperative complications. In the derivation set, 8 factors including state of the opposite ear and presence of nasal or pharyngeal diseases were found to be independently associated with the occurrence of early postoperative complications on multivariable regression analysis [area under the curve (AUC), 0.806; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.765-0.848]. Using the validation cohort, the AUC of the TEESRI was 0.776 [95%CI, 0.711-0.842], with a sensitivity of 82.2% and specificity of 65.5%, while the AUC of the ASA classification was 0.512 (95%CI, 0.421-0.603). The TEESRI outperformed the ASA classification when evaluating the risk for early postoperative complications of TEES.

Conclusions: Based on the 8 risk factors, the TEESRI was established with satisfactory predicting capacity. Surgeons should pay extra attention to the risk factors in the TEESRI, when treating patients.

Keywords: Early postoperative complications; Retrospective study; Risk index; Trans-canal endoscopic ear surgery.