Key determinants of long-term post-stroke mortality in Ghana

J Neurol Sci. 2022 Mar 15:434:120123. doi: 10.1016/j.jns.2021.120123. Epub 2021 Dec 29.

Abstract

Background: Stroke affects a predominantly young to middle-aged population in Africa and is associated with poor outcomes. There are limited data on patient-level determinants of long-term stroke survival on the continent.

Purpose: To assess factors associated with long-term, all-cause mortality among stroke survivors in a Ghanaian medical system.

Methods: We analyzed the dataset of clinical trial involving hypertensive stroke survivors (n = 60) who enrolled in a 9-month study primarily assessing the effect of an m-health intervention on blood pressure control. This was a single tertiary center study conducted in a Ghanaian medical center. Participants or relatives were contacted by a phone call to assess vital status 4.5 years after stroke onset. Demographic, psycho-social and vascular risk factors data were collected during the study. Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to assess the factors associated with death.

Results: Among the study participants, long term information was obtainable on 58 of 60 (97%). After a median follow-up of 52 months [IQR: 48 to 53 months], 16 participants had died, resulting in a mortality rate of 27.6% (95% CI of 16.6% - 40.9%). Upon adjustment for confounders, the two factors independently associated with long-term mortality were resistant hypertension (Hazard Ratio 3.99; 95% CI: 1.29-12.37] and depression (Hazard Ratio 1.18; 95% CI: 1.05-1.31; per unit rise on the Hamilton Depression Scale).

Conclusion: In this convenience sample of recent stroke patients in Ghana, over a quarter had died within 5 years of index stroke onset. Resistant hypertension and depression may be modifiable therapeutic targets to improve outcomes in these patients.

Keywords: Depression; Prospective study; Resistant hypertension; Resource-limited region; Stroke mortality.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Blood Pressure
  • Ghana / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Hypertension* / complications
  • Middle Aged
  • Risk Factors
  • Stroke* / epidemiology