Random antral follicle count performed on any day of the menstrual cycle has the same predictive value as AMH for good ovarian response in IVF cycles

Abstract

Objective: To determine whether the predictive value of AFC for ovarian response to stimulation for IVF depends on the day of the menstrual cycle when ultrasound is performed.

Methods: 410 women undergoing their first IVF cycle were included. All the women had AFC performed twice. The first measurement, random AFC (r-AFC), was performed during the fertility workup whatever the day of their menstrual cycle. Three groups were constituted according to the period of ultrasound performance: at early follicular phase i.e., day 1 to day 6 (eFP-AFC); at mid follicular phase i.e., day 7 to 12 (mFP-AFC) and at luteal phase i.e., day 13 or after (LP-AFC). A second AFC measurement was performed before the start of the ovarian stimulation (SD1-AFC). AMH dosing was done in the early follicular phase.

Results: Random AFC (r-AFC) was correlated to AMH (r = 0.69; p<0.001), SD1-AFC (r = 0.75; p<0.001) and number of oocytes retrieved (r = 0.49; p<0.001). When regarding AFC depending on the cycle day group, the correlation with AMH was 0.65, 0.66 and 0.85 for the eFP-AFC, the mFP-AFC and the LP-AFC respectively (all p were <0.001). The ROC analysis showed the same predictive value for good ovarian response (more than 6 oocytes retrieved) for the eFP-AFC, mFP-AFC and LP-AFC (AUC 0.73, 0.75 and 0.84 respectively; p = 0.28). The AUC of r-AFC (0.76) were similar to those of AMH (0.74) and SD1-AFC (0.74) (p = 0.21 and 0.92 respectively).

Conclusion: AFC is strongly correlated with AMH and highly predictive of good ovarian response during the whole menstrual cycle.

Keywords: Anti-Mullerian Hormone; Antral follicle count; In vitro fertilization; Menstrual cycle; Ovarian reserve.