Could the unfortunate outcome of pediatric acute myocarditis be predicted? Factors contributing to a poor outcome in myocarditis

Abstract

Objective: Myocarditis has spontaneous resolution in 50% of patients. Our study aimed to define risk factors for developing dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) and death in pediatric patients with acute myocarditis (AM).

Methods: The retrospective cohort study included all patients with treated AM. The Mother and Child Health Institute from January 2011 to March 2019.

Results: In the study, 62 patients were included, 40 boys and 22 girls (11.15±5.86 years) with AM. Twelve out of sixty-two children had acute fulminant myocarditis. Four patients died in the acute phase of AM, and 11 developed DCM. Follow up was 27.14±36.52 months. Patients with poor outcome (DCM development) were under the age of seven (odds ratio [OR] 10.1; p=0.003), more likely to be girls (OR 4.6; p=0.03), and had fulminant myocarditis (OR 27.0; <0.001). An ejection fraction (EF) <55% and fractional shortening (FS) <30% increased risk of DCM 13- and 5-fold, respectively, but patients with EF between 40 and 55% remain at highest risk of developing DCM. There was a 12-fold increased risk for DCM in patients with left ventricular end-diastolic diameter Z score >2+. The receiver operator curve showed that the lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) cut-off value for developing DCM was 1780 mmol/l (sensitivity 80%, specificity 100%).

Conclusion: Acute fulminant myocarditis was an independent risk factor for DCM. Children with EF between 40 and 50% at admission were at highest risk of developing DCM. Lactate dehydrogenase value could be a significant prognostic value for the outcome of pediatric myocarditis.

Keywords: Death; Dilated cardiomyopathy; Miocardiopatia dilatada; Miocardite; Morte; Myocarditis; Outcomes; Pediatria; Pediatric; Prognótico.