Automated Assessment of Brain CT After Cardiac Arrest-An Observational Derivation/Validation Cohort Study

Abstract

Objectives: Prognostication of outcome is an essential step in defining therapeutic goals after cardiac arrest. Gray-white-matter ratio obtained from brain CT can predict poor outcome. However, manual placement of regions of interest is a potential source of error and interrater variability. Our objective was to assess the performance of poor outcome prediction by automated quantification of changes in brain CTs after cardiac arrest.

Design: Observational, derivation/validation cohort study design. Outcome was determined using the Cerebral Performance Category upon hospital discharge. Poor outcome was defined as death or unresponsive wakefulness syndrome/coma. CTs were automatically decomposed using coregistration with a brain atlas.

Setting: ICUs at a large, academic hospital with circulatory arrest center.

Patients: We identified 433 cardiac arrest patients from a large previously established database with brain CTs within 10 days after cardiac arrest.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: Five hundred sixteen brain CTs were evaluated (derivation cohort n = 309, validation cohort n = 207). Patients with poor outcome had significantly lower radiodensities in gray matter regions. Automated GWR_si (putamen/posterior limb of internal capsule) was performed with an area under the curve of 0.86 (95%-CI: 0.80-0.93) for CTs taken later than 24 hours after cardiac arrest (similar performance in the validation cohort). Poor outcome (Cerebral Performance Category 4-5) was predicted with a specificity of 100% (95% CI, 87-100%, derivation; 88-100%, validation) at a threshold of less than 1.10 and a sensitivity of 49% (95% CI, 36-58%, derivation) and 38% (95% CI, 27-50%, validation) for CTs later than 24 hours after cardiac arrest. Sensitivity and area under the curve were lower for CTs performed within 24 hours after cardiac arrest.

Conclusions: Automated gray-white-matter ratio from brain CT is a promising tool for prediction of poor neurologic outcome after cardiac arrest with high specificity and low-to-moderate sensitivity. Prediction by gray-white-matter ratio at the basal ganglia level performed best. Sensitivity increased considerably for CTs performed later than 24 hours after cardiac arrest.