Background/aim: Sorafenib is the first systemic therapy for the treatment of advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and progressive HCC after locoregional therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic factors of long-term survivors after sorafenib treatment.
Methods: This multicenter, retrospective, cohort study included 1,566 unresectable HCC patients who received sorafenib treatment between 2007 and 2014 in nine tertiary centers in Korea. The patients were classified into a long-term survivor group (survival more than two years, n = 257) or a control group (n = 1309). The primary outcomes were the prognostic factors affecting long-term survival. Secondary endpoints included time-to-progression and other safety profiles.
Results: The patients were predominantly men (83.8%) with chronic hepatitis B (77.3%) and Barcelona clinic of liver cancer-stage C (BCLC-C) (78.3%). The median overall survival was 9.0 months. After treatment, eight patients (0.4%) achieved complete response and 139 patients (8.8%) achieved partial response according to the mRECIST criteria. The prognostic factors predicting long-term survival were metformin use (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 3.464; P < 0.001), hand-foot skin reaction (aHR = 1.688; P = 0.003), and concomitant treatment with chemoembolization or radiotherapy (aHR = 2.766; P < 0.001). Poor prognostic factors of long-term survival were a Child-Pugh score of B (HR = 0.422; P < 0.001), the presence of extrahepatic metastasis (HR = 0.639; P = 0.005), main portal vein invasion (HR = 0.502; P = 0.001), and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (>1,000 ng/mL; HR = 0.361; P < 0.001).
Conclusion: This large, multicenter, retrospective study showed an objective response rate of 9.1% and a proportion of long-term survivors of 16.4% in Korean patients. The prognostic factors derived in our study can be used in clinical practice during sorafenib treatment.
Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma; prognosis; sorafenib; survival.
© 2021 Cho et al.