National Trends and Cost Burden of Surgically Treated Gunshot Wounds in the US

J Am Coll Surg. 2020 Oct;231(4):448-459.e4. doi: 10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2020.06.022. Epub 2020 Aug 10.

Abstract

Background: Gun violence remains a major burden on the US healthcare system, with annual cost exceeding $170 billion. Literature on the national trends in cost and survival of gun violence victims requiring operative interventions is lacking.

Study design: All adults admitted with a diagnosis of gunshot wound requiring operative intervention were identified using the 2005-2016 National Inpatient Sample. The ICD Injury Severity Score, a validated prediction tool, was used to quantify the extent of traumatic injuries. Survey-weighted methodology was used to provide national estimates. Hospitalizations exceeding the 66th percentile of annual cost were considered as high-cost tertile. Multivariable logistic regressions with stepwise forward selection were used to identify factors associated with mortality and high-cost tertile.

Results: During the study period, 262,098 admissions met inclusion criteria with a significant increase in annual frequency and decrease in ICD Injury Severity Scores. A decline in mortality (8.6% to 7.6%; parametric test of trend = 0.03) was accompanied by increasing mean cost ($25,900 to $33,000; nonparametric test of trend < 0.001). After adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics, head and neck (adjusted odds ratio 31.2; 95% CI, 11.0 to 88.4; p < 0.001), vascular operations (adjusted odds ratio 24.5; 95% CI, 19.2 to 31.1; p < 0.001), and gastrointestinal (adjusted odds ratio 27.8; 95% CI, 17.2 to 44.8; p < 0.001) were independently associated with high-cost tertile designation compared with patients who did not undergo these operations.

Conclusions: During the past decade, the increase in gun violence and severity has resulted in higher cost. Operations involving selected surgical treatments incurred higher in-hospital cost. Given the profound economic and social impact of surgically treated gunshot wounds, policy and public health efforts to reduce gun violence are imperative.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cost of Illness*
  • Female
  • Hospital Costs / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospital Costs / trends*
  • Hospitalization / economics
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data
  • Hospitalization / trends
  • Humans
  • Injury Severity Score
  • Male
  • Public Policy
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Surgical Procedures, Operative / economics*
  • Surgical Procedures, Operative / statistics & numerical data
  • Surgical Procedures, Operative / trends
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Violence / economics*
  • Violence / prevention & control
  • Violence / statistics & numerical data
  • Wounds, Gunshot / diagnosis
  • Wounds, Gunshot / economics*
  • Wounds, Gunshot / prevention & control
  • Wounds, Gunshot / surgery