Rapid, precise, and reliable measurement of delay discounting using a Bayesian learning algorithm

Sci Rep. 2020 Jul 21;10(1):12091. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-68587-x.

Abstract

Machine learning has the potential to facilitate the development of computational methods that improve the measurement of cognitive and mental functioning. In three populations (college students, patients with a substance use disorder, and Amazon Mechanical Turk workers), we evaluated one such method, Bayesian adaptive design optimization (ADO), in the area of delay discounting by comparing its test-retest reliability, precision, and efficiency with that of a conventional staircase method. In all three populations tested, the results showed that ADO led to 0.95 or higher test-retest reliability of the discounting rate within 10-20 trials (under 1-2 min of testing), captured approximately 10% more variance in test-retest reliability, was 3-5 times more precise, and was 3-8 times more efficient than the staircase method. The ADO methodology provides efficient and precise protocols for measuring individual differences in delay discounting.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Algorithms
  • Bayes Theorem*
  • Decision Making
  • Delay Discounting*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Individuality
  • Machine Learning
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Students / psychology*
  • Substance-Related Disorders / psychology*
  • Young Adult