We investigated if brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) accumulation after glucose intake could predict cardiovascular outcomes. We enrolled patients admitted for angiography due to angina. After their conditions stabilized, serum BDNF levels were detected at 0, 30, and 120 min during oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Area under the curve (AUC) of BDNF was calculated. The first occurrence of nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, and all-cause mortality served as the primary composite endpoint. Of 480 enrolled patients, 428 completed the follow-up, and 36 primary endpoint events occurred during a median follow-up of 4.4 years. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve significantly increased from 0.61 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.52-0.73) for the Framingham risk score (FRS) alone model to 0.72 (95%CI: 0.63-0.81) for the AUC of BDNF plus FRS model (p = 0.016) for predicting the primary endpoint, but not to 0.65 (95%CI: 0.55-0.75) for the fasting BDNF plus FRS model (p = 0.160). Grouped by median AUC of BDNF of 38.0 (ng/mL) × h, the low BDNF group had a significantly higher risk of the endpoint than the high BDNF group (hazard ratio = 3.410, 95%CI: 1.520-7.653, p = 0.003). In conclusion, AUC of BDNF during OGTT could be superior to fasting BDNF for predicting a low cardiovascular risk.
Keywords: area under the curve; brain-derived neurotrophic factor; composite endpoint; oral glucose tolerance test.