Doubling Time of the COVID-19 Epidemic by Chinese Province

Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez; Gerardo Chowell; Chi-Hin Cheung; Dongyu Jia; Po-Ying Lai; Yiseul Lee; Manyun Liu; Sylvia K Ofori; Kimberlyn M Roosa; Lone Simonsen; Cecile Viboud; Isaac Chun-Hai Fung

doi:10.1101/2020.02.05.20020750

Doubling Time of the COVID-19 Epidemic by Chinese Province

medRxiv [Preprint]. 2020 Apr 24:2020.02.05.20020750. doi: 10.1101/2020.02.05.20020750.

Affiliation

¹ Georgia Southern University, Statesboro, GA, USA (K. Muniz-Rodriguez, D. Jia, M. Liu, S. K. Ofori, I. C.-H. Fung); Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA (G. Chowell, Y. Lee, K. M. Roosa); Independent researcher (C.-H. Cheung); Boston University, Boston, MA, USA (P.-Y. Lai); Roskilde University, Roskilde, Denmark (L. Simonsen); The National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA (G. Chowell, C. Viboud).

Abstract

COVID-19 epidemic doubling time by Chinese province was increasing from January 20 through February 9, 2020. The harmonic mean of the arithmetic mean doubling time estimates ranged from 1.4 (Hunan, 95% CI, 1.2-2.0) to 3.1 (Xinjiang, 95% CI, 2.1-4.8), with an estimate of 2.5 days (95% CI, 2.4-2.6) for Hubei.

Keywords: COVID-19; China; Coronavirus; Disease Transmission; Epidemiology; Infectious; Respiratory Tract Infections.

Publication types

Preprint