Screening Blood Donors for HIV, HCV, and HBV at the American Red Cross: 10-Year Trends in Prevalence, Incidence, and Residual Risk, 2007 to 2016

Abstract

Prevalence, incidence and residual risk of HIV, HCV and HBV are critical indicators of the safety of the blood supply. The American Red Cross routinely monitors these markers. Herein the results of testing over 58 million donations from 2007 to 2016 are reported. The prevalence and incidence of these infections has declined or remained essentially stable over the 7.5 to 10-year period. In 2015 to 2016, the prevalence of HIV, HCV and HBV were respectively: 1.65, 11.47 and 5.85 per hundred thousand (pht) donations with a significant decrease over the 10-year study only for HCV. Weighted incidence rates for all positives were 1.98 pht person years (py) for HIV, 2.20 pht py for HCV and 1.25 pht py for HBV. Estimates of residual risk using these incidence rates were: HIV, 1:2.3 million; HCV, 1:2.6 million; and HBV, 1:1.5 million donations, reflecting very low risk to recipients. There have been increases in the safety of the blood supply compared to prior published estimates. Demographic factors were shown to be associated with variations in infection prevalence and incidence. Continuing changes in the structure of the donor population or changes in policy could impact these measures of safety.

Keywords: Blood safety; HBV; HCV; HIV; Incidence; Prevalence; Residual risk.