CMR DENSE and the Seattle Heart Failure Model Inform Survival and Arrhythmia Risk After CRT

Abstract

Objectives: This study sought to determine if combining the Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM-D) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) provides complementary prognostic data for patients with cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) defibrillators.

Background: The SHFM-D is among the most widely used risk stratification models for overall survival in patients with heart failure and implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs), and CMR provides highly detailed information regarding cardiac structure and function.

Methods: CMR Displacement Encoding with Stimulated Echoes (DENSE) strain imaging was used to generate the circumferential uniformity ratio estimate with singular value decomposition (CURE-SVD) circumferential strain dyssynchrony parameter, and the SHFM-D was determined from clinical parameters. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine adjusted hazard ratios and time-dependent areas under the curve for the primary endpoint of death, heart transplantation, left ventricular assist device, or appropriate ICD therapies.

Results: The cohort consisted of 100 patients (65.5 [interquartile range 57.7 to 72.7] years; 29% female), of whom 47% had the primary clinical endpoint and 18% had appropriate ICD therapies during a median follow-up of 5.3 years. CURE-SVD and the SHFM-D were independently associated with the primary endpoint (SHFM-D: hazard ratio: 1.47/SD; 95% confidence interval: 1.06 to 2.03; p = 0.02) (CURE-SVD: hazard ratio: 1.54/SD; 95% confidence interval: 1.12 to 2.11; p = 0.009). Furthermore, a favorable prognostic group (Group A, with CURE-SVD <0.60 and SHFM-D <0.70) comprising approximately one-third of the patients had a very low rate of appropriate ICD therapies (1.5% per year) and a greater (90%) 4-year survival compared with Group B (CURE-SVD ≥0.60 or SHFM-D ≥0.70) patients (p = 0.02). CURE-SVD with DENSE had a stronger correlation with CRT response (r = -0.57; p < 0.0001) than CURE-SVD with feature tracking (r = -0.28; p = 0.004).

Conclusions: A combined approach to risk stratification using CMR DENSE strain imaging and a widely used clinical risk model, the SHFM-D, proved to be effective in this cohort of patients referred for CRT defibrillators. The combined use of CMR and clinical risk models represents a promising and novel paradigm to inform prognosis and device selection in the future.

Keywords: cardiac magnetic resonance; cardiac resynchronization therapy; heart failure; implantable cardioverter-defibrillator; risk models.