Objectives: Ambiguous results have been reported on the predictive value of the Ki-67 proliferation index (Ki-67 PI) regarding local control (LC) and survival after primary radiotherapy (RT) in early-stage laryngeal squamous cell cancer (LSCC). Small study size, heterogenic inclusion, variations in immunostaining and cut-off values are attributing factors. Our aim was to elucidate the predictive value of the Ki-67 PI for LC and disease-specific survival (DSS) using a well-defined series of T1-T2 LSCC, standardised automatic immunostaining and digital image analysis (DIA).
Methods: A consecutive and well-defined cohort of 208 patients with T1-T2 LSCC treated with primary RT was selected. The Ki-67 PI was determined using DIA. Mann-Whitney U-tests, logistic and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess associations between Ki-67 PI, clinicopathological variables, LC and DSS.
Results: In multivariate Cox regression analysis, poor tumour differentiation (HR 2.20; 95% CI 1.06-4.59, P = .04) and alcohol use (HR 2.84, 95% CI 1.20-6.71; P = .02) were independent predictors for LC. Lymph node positivity was an independent predictor for DSS (HR 3.16, 95% CI 1.16-8.64; P = .03). Ki-67 PI was not associated with LC (HR 1.59; 95% CI 0.89-2.81; P = .11) or DSS (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.57-1.66; P = .97). In addition, continuous Ki-67 PI was not associated with LC (HR 2.03; 95% CI 0.37-11.14, P = .42) or DSS (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.05-8.28; P = .72).
Conclusion: The Ki-67 PI was not found to be a predictor for LC or DSS and therefore should not be incorporated in treatment-related decision-making for LSCC.
Keywords: Ki-67; disease-specific survival; head and neck cancer; laryngeal carcinoma; local control; proliferation; radiotherapy.
© 2019 The Authors. Clinical Otolaryngology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.