The short-term effects of air pollution on respiratory diseases and lung cancer mortality in Hefei: A time-series analysis

Respir Med. 2019 Jan:146:57-65. doi: 10.1016/j.rmed.2018.11.019. Epub 2018 Dec 12.

Abstract

Accumulating evidence has shown the effects of air pollution on respiratory disease and lung cancer mortality, but the evidence is still inconclusive to date. We conducted a time-series analysis, which included 10388 subjects, to assess the short-term effects of air pollution on respiratory disease and lung cancer mortality in Hefei, China, from 2009 to 2015. The mean concentrations of pollutants (PM10, NO2 and SO2) were 106.35, 30.40, and 20.66 μg/m3, respectively, during the study period. An increase of 10 μg/m3 in SO2, NO2, and PM10 was associated with 7.69% (95%CI: 3.41%-12.15%), 4.38% (95%CI: 1.33%-7.53%), and 1.55% (95%CI: 0.80%-2.30%) increase of respiratory diseases mortality, respectively. In contrast, lung cancer mortality was only significantly associated with SO2 level. Subgroup analyses showed that female in respiratory disease patients were more sensitive to air pollution than male. Studies about seasonality of pollutants on respiratory and lung cancer mortality were inconsistent. Further analyses with multiple-pollutant model showed that the effects of pollutants were generally decreased after the other pollutants were adjusted, except the effects of SO2 on lung cancer. These findings demonstrated that air pollution could evidently increase the respiratory disease and lung cancer mortality.

Keywords: Air pollutants; Generalized additive model; Lung cancer; Mortality; Respiratory disease.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Air Pollutants / adverse effects*
  • China / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Lung Neoplasms / chemically induced
  • Lung Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Male
  • Particulate Matter / adverse effects*
  • Respiratory Tract Diseases / chemically induced
  • Respiratory Tract Diseases / mortality*
  • Sex Factors
  • Sulfur Dioxide / adverse effects

Substances

  • Air Pollutants
  • Particulate Matter
  • Sulfur Dioxide