Validation of inflammation-based prognostic models in patients with hepatitis B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective observational study

Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2018 Jan;30(1):60-70. doi: 10.1097/MEG.0000000000001021.

Abstract

Background and objective: The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of several inflammation-based models in hepatitis B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Patients and methods: We retrospectively reviewed 470 cases of hepatitis B-associated HCC. Preoperative data were collected to calculate the inflammation-based markers, including systemic immune-inflammation index (neutrophilĂ—platelets/lymphocyte), platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Overall survival and recurrence-free survival were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox analysis.

Results: During a median follow-up time of 29 months, 34.0% (160/470) of patients died and 36.0% (169/470) experienced recurrence. Compared with patients with lower scores of inflammation models, patients in the higher group had larger tumor diameter and higher risk of vascular invasion (both P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, tumor size, platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio, NLR, and systemic immune-inflammation index were the independent predictors for both overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Furthermore, the combination of tumor size and NLR showed a significantly better discrimination ability for survival (C-index=0.716, 95% confidence interval: 0.664-0.768) than both Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer and Cancer of Liver Italian Program.

Conclusion: The inflammation-based markers, in particular the combination of NLR with tumor size, are effective tools for assessing prognosis in hepatitis B-associated HCC.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study
  • Validation Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Blood Platelets
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / immunology
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / mortality
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / pathology
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / virology*
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Disease Progression
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Hepatitis B / immunology
  • Hepatitis B / mortality
  • Hepatitis B / virology*
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Liver Neoplasms / immunology
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality
  • Liver Neoplasms / pathology
  • Liver Neoplasms / virology*
  • Lymphocyte Count
  • Lymphocytes / immunology*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
  • Neoplasm Staging / methods*
  • Neutrophils / immunology*
  • Platelet Count
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors