Prognostic and Predictive Value of p21-activated Kinase 6 Associated Support Vector Machine Classifier in Gastric Cancer Treated by 5-fluorouracil/Oxaliplatin Chemotherapy

EBioMedicine. 2017 Aug:22:78-88. doi: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2017.06.028. Epub 2017 Jul 1.

Abstract

To determine whether p21-activated Kinase (PAK) 6 is a prognostic and predictive marker in gastric cancer (GC) and to construct a classifier that can identify a subset of patients who are highly sensitive to 5-fluorouracil/oxaliplatin chemotherapy. We retrospectively analyzed the expression levels of PAK6, cyclooxygenase 2, p21WAF1, Ki-67, excision repair cross-complementing gene 1, and thymidylate synthase in 242 paraffin-embedded GC specimens of the training cohort by immunohistochemistry. Then, we used support vector machine (SVM)-based methods to develop a predictive classifier for chemotherapy (chemotherapy score - CS-SVM classifier). Further validation was performed in an independent cohort of 279 patients. High PAK6 expression was associated with poor prognosis and increased chemoresistance to 5-FU/oxaliplatin chemotherapy. The CS-SVM classifier distinguished patients with stage II and III GC into low- and high-CS-SVM groups, with significant differences in the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in chemotherapy patients. Moreover, chemotherapy significantly prolonged the DFS and OS of the high CS-SVM patients in the training and validation cohorts. In conclusion, PAK6 was an independent prognostic factor and increased chemoresistance. The CS-SVM classifier distinguished a subgroup of stage II and III patients who would highly benefit from chemotherapy, thus facilitating patient counseling and individualizing the management.

Keywords: 5-FU/oxaliplatin chemotherapy; Gastric cancer; Nomogram; SVM classifier; p21-activated kinase 6.

MeSH terms

  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p21 / metabolism
  • Cyclooxygenase 2 / metabolism
  • DNA-Binding Proteins / metabolism
  • Drug Resistance, Neoplasm*
  • Endonucleases / metabolism
  • Female
  • Fluorouracil / therapeutic use
  • Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic
  • Humans
  • Ki-67 Antigen / metabolism
  • Male
  • Organoplatinum Compounds / therapeutic use
  • Oxaliplatin
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Stomach Neoplasms / classification*
  • Stomach Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Stomach Neoplasms / metabolism
  • Support Vector Machine
  • Survival Analysis
  • Thymidylate Synthase / metabolism
  • Up-Regulation*
  • p21-Activated Kinases / metabolism*

Substances

  • CDKN1A protein, human
  • Cyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p21
  • DNA-Binding Proteins
  • Ki-67 Antigen
  • Organoplatinum Compounds
  • Oxaliplatin
  • Cyclooxygenase 2
  • PTGS2 protein, human
  • Thymidylate Synthase
  • PAK6 protein, human
  • p21-Activated Kinases
  • ERCC1 protein, human
  • Endonucleases
  • Fluorouracil