Non-linear dynamic modeling of glucose in type 1 diabetes with kernel adaptive filters

Annu Int Conf IEEE Eng Med Biol Soc. 2016 Aug:2016:5897-5900. doi: 10.1109/EMBC.2016.7592070.

Abstract

We propose a non-linear recursive solution to the problem of short-term prediction of glucose in type 1 diabetes. The Fixed Budget Quantized Kernel Least Mean Square (QKLMS-FB) algorithm is employed to construct a univariate model of subcutaneous glucose concentration, which: (i) handles nonlinearities by transforming the input space into a high-dimensional Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space and, (ii) finds a sparse solution by retaining a representative subset of the training input vectors. The dataset comes from the continuous multi-day recordings of 15 type 1 patients in free-living conditions. QKLMS-FB produces an average root mean squared error of 18.66±3.19 mg/dl for a prediction horizon of 30 min with 82.04% of hypoglycemic readings and 93.30% of hyperglycemic ones being classified as clinically accurate or with benign errors. The effect of the prediction horizon is more evident in the hypoglycemic range.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Algorithms*
  • Blood Glucose / analysis*
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / blood*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Biological*
  • Monitoring, Physiologic
  • Nonlinear Dynamics*

Substances

  • Blood Glucose