The Value of Biomarkers as Predictors of Outcome in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis-Associated Usual Interstitial Pneumonia

Sarcoidosis Vasc Diffuse Lung Dis. 2016 Oct 7;33(3):216-223.

Abstract

Background: Because of the highly variable clinical course of rheumatoid arthritis-associated usual interstitial pneumonia (RA-UIP), the prediction of patient prognosis is important.

Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the role of blood biomarkers as prognostic predictors in the patients with RA-UIP.

Methods: The blood levels of biomarkers (Krebs von den Lungen-6 [KL-6], surfactant protein-A [SP-A], matrix metalloproteinase-7 [MMP-7], interleukin-6 [IL-6], and interleukin-32 [IL-32]) were retrospectively compared with the clinical courses of 62 patients with RA-UIP.

Results: The median follow-up period was 33.4 months. RA-UIP progressed in 15 patients (45.2%) during one year of follow-up. We found that KL-6 and IL-6 were significant predictors of short-term (1 year) prognosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the odds ratio (OR) for KL-6 was 1.001 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.000-1.003, p = 0.077) and that the OR for IL-6 was 1.040 (95% CI: 1.002-1.080, p = 0.039) for short-term disease progression. The addition of KL-6 and IL-6 to the clinical parameters (concordance index [C-index]: 0.958, p = 0.053) predicted short-term disease progression better than the clinical parameter alone (C-index: 0.853). In addition, patients with high levels of KL-6 (≥933 U/mL) had shorter survival than those with low levels of KL-6 (<933 U/mL) (median survival: 51 vs. 96 months, p = 0.019).

Conclusions: The results of this retrospective study suggested that KL-6 and IL-6 could be used as predictors of short-term disease progression. In addition, high levels of KL-6 could be used as a predictor of mortality. Additional studies involving a larger patient cohort are warranted.

Keywords: Biomarkers, Rheumatoid arthritis, Interstitial lung disease, Prognosis, KL-6, IL-6.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Arthritis, Rheumatoid / complications*
  • Arthritis, Rheumatoid / diagnosis
  • Arthritis, Rheumatoid / mortality
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-6 / blood*
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Logistic Models
  • Lung Diseases, Interstitial / blood
  • Lung Diseases, Interstitial / diagnosis*
  • Lung Diseases, Interstitial / etiology
  • Lung Diseases, Interstitial / mortality
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mucin-1 / blood*
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Up-Regulation

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • IL6 protein, human
  • Interleukin-6
  • MUC1 protein, human
  • Mucin-1