Seasonal Incidence of Emergent Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Surgery

Heart Surg Forum. 2016 Mar 31;19(2):E048-53. doi: 10.1532/hsf.1277.

Abstract

Background: Emergent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery is often required in the case of severe coronary artery disease, which is refractory to traditional management. The objective of our study was to test the hypothesis that there is seasonal variation in the incidence of emergent CABG.

Methods: A sinusoidal logistic regression model was used to analyze operative data at our cardiovascular institute of 270 cases spanning 5939 calendar days.

Results: A cyclic peak risk for emergent CABG was observed for late winter (calendar day 66; P = .036). The odds ratios for the 1-, 2- and 3-month window surrounding this peak were 1.8 (95% CI = 0.94-3.5, P = .072), 1.6 (95% CI = 1.06-2.5, P = .024) and 1.4 (95% CI = 0.9-1.8, P = .066), respectively.

Conclusion: Our results suggest that a seasonal variation may exist in the incidence of patients presenting with severe coronary artery disease requiring emergent CABG. This information is useful in the scheduling of hospital resources and staff. It also provides important etiology clues underlying coronary artery disease that may lead to future interventions or targeted therapies.

MeSH terms

  • Coronary Artery Bypass / methods*
  • Coronary Artery Bypass / statistics & numerical data
  • Coronary Artery Disease / epidemiology
  • Coronary Artery Disease / surgery*
  • Emergencies / epidemiology*
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • North Carolina / epidemiology
  • Odds Ratio
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment*
  • Risk Factors
  • Rural Population*
  • Seasons