Longitudinal Dynamics of Substance Use and Psychiatric Symptoms in Count Data with Zero Inflation

Multivariate Behav Res. 2016 Mar-Jun;51(2-3):279-95. doi: 10.1080/00273171.2016.1144501. Epub 2016 Apr 6.

Abstract

We examine the dynamics of substance use and psychiatric symptoms from childhood to adolescence using a longitudinal study of Mexican-origin families (N = 674). We present a longitudinal model capturing the trajectories of substance use and psychiatric symptoms (depression, conduct disorder), as well as the interrelations between these trajectories over time. Such a model is an extension of latent change score models designed to account for the occurrence of psychiatric symptoms while also accommodating a large amount of zeros for nonoccurrence and characterizing the changes over time in the count data. We compare this model with a more traditional approach based on a log transformation of the data. We describe differences between these approaches and highlight the benefits of using the two-part model when the data include a large amount of zeros for nonoccurrence of the behavior.

Keywords: Longitudinal data analysis; categorical outcome analyses; substance use.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Algorithms
  • California / epidemiology
  • Child
  • Conduct Disorder / epidemiology
  • Data Interpretation, Statistical
  • Depression / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Mexican Americans
  • Models, Statistical
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Prevalence
  • Sex Factors
  • Substance-Related Disorders / epidemiology*
  • Substance-Related Disorders / psychology*