Serum potassium decline during hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure is a predictor of 6-month mortality, independent of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels: An individual patient data analysis

Am Heart J. 2015 Sep;170(3):531-42.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2015.06.003. Epub 2015 Jun 10.

Abstract

Background: Limited data exist for the role of serum potassium changes during hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). The present study investigated the long-term prognostic value of potassium changes during hospitalization in patients admitted for ADHF.

Methods: Our study is a pooled individual patient data analysis assembled from 3 prospective cohorts comprising 754 patients hospitalized for ADHF. The endpoint was all-cause mortality within 180 days after discharge. Serum potassium levels and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels were measured at admission and at discharge.

Results: A percentage decrease >15% in serum potassium levels occurred in 96 (13%) patients, and an absolute decrease of >0.7 mmol/L in serum potassium levels occurred in 85 (12%) patients; and both were predictors of poor outcome independent of admission or discharge serum potassium. After the addition of other strong predictors of mortality-a 30% change in NT-proBNP during hospitalization, discharge levels of NT-proBNP, renal markers, and other relevant clinical variables-the multivariate hazard ratio of serum potassium percentage reduction of >15% remained an independent predictor of 180-day mortality (hazard ratio 2.06, 95% CI 1.14-3.73).

Conclusions: A percentage serum potassium decline of >15% is an independent predictor of 180-day all-cause mortality on top of baseline potassium levels, NT-proBNP levels, renal variables, and other relevant clinical variables. This suggest that patients hospitalized for ADHF with a decline of >15% in serum potassium levels are at risk and thus monitoring and regulating of serum potassium level during hospitalization are needed in these patients.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Disease
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Cause of Death / trends
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / complications
  • Heart Failure / mortality*
  • Hospitalization*
  • Humans
  • Hypokalemia / blood*
  • Hypokalemia / etiology
  • Hypokalemia / mortality
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood*
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Peptide Fragments / blood*
  • Potassium / blood*
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Survival Rate / trends
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Peptide Fragments
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
  • Potassium