Predictors of spontaneous reverse remodeling in mild heart failure patients with left ventricular dysfunction

Circ Heart Fail. 2014 Jul;7(4):565-72. doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000929. Epub 2014 Apr 30.

Abstract

Background: There are limited data regarding factors associated with spontaneous left ventricular reverse remodeling (S-LVRR) among mildly symptomatic heart failure (HF) patients and its prognostic implications on clinical outcomes.

Methods and results: Best subsets logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with S-LVRR (defined as ≥15% reduction in left ventricular end-systolic volume at 1-year of follow-up) among 612 patients treated with internal cardioverter defibrillator-only therapy in Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial-Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy (MADIT-CRT) and to create a score for the prediction of S-LVRR. Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to assess the clinical outcome of all internal cardioverter defibrillator-only patients (n=714) with a high S-LVRR score. S-LVRR occurred in 25% of internal cardioverter defibrillator-only patients. Predictors of S-LVRR included systolic blood pressure≥140 mm Hg, serum creatinine<1.0 mg/dL, QRS 130 to 160 ms, and nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Multivariate analysis showed that each 1-point increment in S-LVRR score (range, 0-7) was associated with an 11% (P=0.019) reduction in the risk of HF or death. Treatment with cardiac resynchronization therapy was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of HF or death only among internal cardioverter defibrillator-treated patients with a low (Q1-3) S-LVRR score (hazard ratio=0.55; P<0.001), but not among those with a higher (Q4) score (hazard ratio=1.06; P=0.72).

Conclusions: Our data suggest that approximately one quarter of mild HF patients eligible for biventricular pacing experience S-LVRR. Combined assessment of clinical factors associated with S-LVRR can be used to identify mild HF patients with a low risk for clinical events without cardiac resynchronization therapy intervention.

Clinical trial registration url: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00180271.

Keywords: cardiac resynchronization therapy; heart failure.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Canada / epidemiology
  • Defibrillators, Implantable*
  • Echocardiography
  • Europe / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / mortality
  • Heart Failure / physiopathology*
  • Heart Failure / therapy
  • Heart Ventricles / diagnostic imaging
  • Heart Ventricles / physiopathology*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Factors
  • Stroke Volume / physiology*
  • Survival Rate / trends
  • United States / epidemiology
  • Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / mortality
  • Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / physiopathology*
  • Ventricular Dysfunction, Left / therapy
  • Ventricular Remodeling*

Associated data

  • ClinicalTrials.gov/NCT00180271