Long-term outcome of lupus nephritis in Asian Indians

Abstract

Objective: There are sparse data on outcome of lupus nephritis from developing countries. This study looks at outcome in Asian Indians.

Methods: This retrospective study included patients at a single center over 20 years. Patients were treated as per standard protocols. The primary outcome measure was chronic renal failure or death; the secondary outcome was end-stage renal disease or death. The worst-case scenario was also calculated, considering those lost to followup in the first year as events. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the log rank test were used for survival analysis. Data are shown as the mean ± SD.

Results: We included 188 patients with lupus nephritis, with a female:male ratio of 11:1, a mean ± SD age at onset of 23.6 ± 10.5 years, and a median followup time of 6 years (interquartile range 3-9 years). Of 136 patients with a biopsy sample, the distribution was as follows: class II in 22, class III in 36, class IV in 61, class V in 16, and class VI in 1. Survival with normal renal function was 84%, 69%, and 57% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively; in the worst-case scenario, survival was 77%, 63%, and 51%, respectively. There was no difference in survival by histologic class; however, nonbiopsied patients had lower survival. Renal survival was 91%, 81%, and 76% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively; in the worst-case scenario, survival was 79%, 70%, and 66%, respectively. Risk factors for poor outcome were low C3, hematuria, hypertension, creatinine, lack of remission, and occurrence of major infection. There was a high rate of major infections of 42.3%, with tuberculosis at 11.5%. Infections caused one-half of all deaths.

Conclusion: The outcome of lupus nephritis in Asian Indians with standard immunosuppressive regimens is reasonable, but immunosuppression is associated with a high rate of infection.