Clustering of fecundability within women

Abstract

Adverse pregnancy outcomes have long been observed to cluster within women resulting in the inclusion of past reproductive history in clinical assessments and perinatal scoring systems. However, limited study has focused on the clustering of fecundability as measured by time to pregnancy (TTP), despite growing evidence suggestive of a possible association with adverse pregnancy outcomes known to cluster within women. We sought to empirically evaluate the clustering of conception delay, and TTP more globally, in one of the few existing prospective pregnancy cohort studies that captured women's successive pregnancies. The study cohort comprised 544 women who contributed 1119 pregnancies in the U.S. Collaborative Perinatal Project. We used a discrete Cox frailty model to estimate the degree and significance of within-woman clustering of TTP. Women with an initial conception delay (TTP > 6 months) were older, less educated and had higher body mass indices than women not experiencing delays (TTP ≤ 6 months). Our analysis indicates that there is significant within-woman clustering of TTP (variance of the frailty = 0.80, [95% confidence interval 0.49, 1.11]) after adjusting for baseline maternal age, body mass index and education level. Similar to many other reproductive and perinatal outcomes, our findings suggest that TTP clusters within women. Identifying exposures or behaviours that affect TTP may offer strategies for reducing conception delay in future pregnancy attempts.