A prognostic model to predict clinical outcome in gastric cancer patients with bone metastasis

Oncology. 2011;80(1-2):142-50. doi: 10.1159/000328507. Epub 2011 Jun 15.

Abstract

Background: The clinicopathological manifestations and treatment outcomes of bone metastasis of gastric cancer are largely unknown. We delineated a prognostic model to identify different risk groups on the basis of clinical parameters.

Methods: Patients who had bone metastasis at the time of diagnosis of gastric cancer (synchronous metastasis) or who developed bone metastasis during follow-up (metachronous metastasis) were retrospectively reviewed from January 1998 to May 2008.

Results: Bone metastasis was identified in 203 (2.4%) of 8,633 patients: 126 patients (62%) with synchronous metastasis and 77 patients with metachronous metastasis. The median time to event was 16 months (range 4-87). As for treatment, 120 patients (59%) received systemic chemotherapy. The median survival time was 103 days (95% CI 80-126). Poor performance status [Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group 3-4; relative risk (RR) = 1.91, p = 0.011], multiple bone metastasis (RR = 2.593, p = 0.002), and abnormal carcinoembryonic antigen (RR = 1.779, p = 0.004) implied independent factors for survival. For patients who had zero to two of these factors identified, chemotherapy had a beneficial effect (175 vs. 43 days; p < 0.0001).

Conclusion: We recommend that the therapeutic approach with bone metastasis be customized to facilitate the risk stratification, so as to consequently provide the most appropriate therapy for each patient.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Bone Neoplasms / blood
  • Bone Neoplasms / pathology
  • Bone Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Bone Neoplasms / therapy
  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen / blood
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Liver Neoplasms / secondary
  • Lung Neoplasms / secondary
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Stomach Neoplasms / blood
  • Stomach Neoplasms / drug therapy*
  • Stomach Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Stomach Neoplasms / surgery
  • Survival Rate
  • Time Factors
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Carcinoembryonic Antigen