Purpose: To assess long-term clinical outcomes of preoperative chemoradiotherapy of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-defined locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma using concurrent irinotecan and capecitabine.
Patients and methods: One hundred ten patients without distant metastases entered this phase II trial North West/North Wales Clinical Oncology Group (NWCOG) -2 after MRI demonstration of tumor threatening (≤ 2 mm) or involving mesorectal fascia. Pelvic radiotherapy was given to 45 Gy in 25 fractions over 5 weeks with concurrent oral capecitabine at 650 mg/m(2) twice per day continuously days 1 through 35 and intravenous irinotecan at 60 mg/m(2) once weekly weeks 1 to 4. One hundred seven patients subsequently underwent surgical resection.
Results: Comparing prechemoradiotherapy MRI scans with histology of the resected specimen, 72 patients (67%) had their initial MRI T stage downstaged and 64 patients (80%) had their N stage downstaged. Twenty-four patients (22%) demonstrated a pathologic complete response (ypCR) and 98 patients (92%) demonstrated a negative circumferential resection margin (> 1 mm). Three-year local recurrence-free survival was 96.9%, metastasis-free survival (MFS) was 71.1%, disease-free survival was (DFS) 63.5%, and overall survival (OS) was 88.2%. By univariate analysis, lower histologic stage was significantly associated with superior MFS, DFS, and OS, whether expressed as ypT0-2 versus ypT3-4, ypN0 versus ypN1-2, or ypCR/microfoci (near-ypCR) versus other patients. By multivariate analysis both ypN stage (P = .048) and ypCR/microfoci/others (P = .013) remained significant predictors of DFS but only ypCR/microfoci/others for OS (P = .005) with no difference in outcome between ypCR compared to microfoci.
Conclusion: This regimen demonstrates high response rates and promising long-term survival. Downstaging to ypCR/microfoci may be a useful short-term surrogate for long-term survival but needs validation in large phase III trials powered for survival outcomes.