Background: We sought to evaluate the accuracy of imaging techniques related to the Milan criteria (MC) compared with the explant histology and the survival of these patients.
Methods: Between 1997 and 2006, we selected 45 cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma distributed into two groups according to explant histology: MC and Expanded Milan Criteria (EMC). Age, gender, preoperative imaging (ultrasound [US] and/or computed tomography [CT]), maximal tumor dimension, number of tumors, explanted histology, histology degree, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level and vascular invasion were compared among the patients to evaluate the value of these prognostic factors for survival after liver transplantation.
Results: By histology 42.2% explants were identified as EMC. The mean AFP level was 204.5 ng/mL. Vascular invasion was detected in 31.5% of explants and 68.4% showed incidental tumors. The survival rates after 10 years were 47.4% whereas MC patients showed 57.77%. The mean AFP level among MC patients was 150.2 ng/mL with vascular invasion detected in 7.7% of explants, and 47.4% with incidental tumors. The overall sensitivity of the imaging techniques was 83.3% for CT and 75% for US. The specificity was 96% for CT and 80.1% for US.
Conclusion: Scan examinations in the preoperative evaluation underestimated about 42.2% of tumors. Those patients had vascular invasion but the survival after 10 years was similar between the ECM and MC groups.